Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 376.648908 428.485902 486.432935 556.301974 638.644581 733.067575 850.204873
2025-08-10 293.843821 359.281585 439.171083 544.995662 683.166390 859.791605 1106.494218
2025-08-17 259.739286 332.991717 427.826403 561.798565 749.800513 1009.843940 1406.944038
2025-08-24 229.238461 304.785292 407.146345 559.306406 785.644008 1119.813987 1670.324843
2025-08-31 203.975662 279.373216 385.429784 549.937082 807.068861 1208.788717 1916.695349
2025-09-07 186.993976 263.057114 373.745011 552.286514 844.562858 1326.391864 2232.882336
2025-09-14 169.521248 243.837429 355.097592 540.604942 856.577398 1402.451527 2491.020330
2025-09-21 157.109963 230.784052 344.100213 539.145052 884.440225 1509.214335 2830.359223
2025-09-28 141.948457 211.974476 321.992929 516.213694 870.887844 1537.273711 3016.604559
2025-10-05 137.356175 209.361171 325.534104 537.273351 939.559517 1733.158921 3611.457371
2025-10-12 133.861029 208.108188 331.027208 562.189279 1018.996078 1965.563313 4358.789095
2025-10-19 127.185962 200.939184 325.643005 566.306278 1057.773616 2119.485390 4961.494397
2025-10-26 117.908934 188.825276 310.890379 551.712913 1057.611493 2190.900562 5381.998420
2025-11-02 110.089362 178.660168 298.776671 540.987813 1064.389976 2280.720299 5888.567227
2025-11-09 106.826717 176.199681 300.362826 557.584183 1133.382548 2535.042839 6981.093146
2025-11-16 101.354288 169.334772 293.104631 555.121214 1158.654628 2684.870100 7805.713903
2025-11-23 95.540352 161.415981 283.158719 545.835494 1166.415549 2790.272804 8525.291147
2025-11-30 91.585044 156.639914 278.855846 548.163884 1202.650727 2982.530552 9649.791460
2025-12-07 86.410526 149.219248 268.752877 536.587190 1202.375248 3070.308731 10414.688998
2025-12-14 82.718746 144.373070 263.407105 535.140377 1228.010110 3241.989008 11616.401417
2025-12-21 77.150538 135.573161 249.409690 512.413445 1194.155163 3222.183167 11974.017342
2025-12-28 76.226012 135.750273 253.854614 533.285430 1281.830642 3615.162003 14483.854783
2026-01-04 75.634262 136.530970 259.605245 557.977364 1384.954934 4092.605497 17787.578171